
Da Bears should roll this weekend. (Image: NFL)
Look, not every week of picking football games can be a good week. I’ll be the first to admit that. I went a dismal 8-8 last week (132-93 on the season,) but you have to admit that some of the contests were close enough that my picks weren’t complete bullshit. Enough of that defensive crap, the point is that the season ain’t over yet, and there are a few divisions that have yet to crown a winner and one division that will crown one with a losing record.
Speaking of the NFC West, I’d almost like to see the winner go in with a terrible record. I’m talking a 6-10 record. It’s possible. I think. Most likely at this point it will be either an 8-8 team or a 7-9 team depending on how the next two weeks roll out for them. Meanwhile, some favorable match-ups around the league give a lot of teams that are on the brink, the chance to clinch a playoff berth, making Week 17 a bit less stressful. The Steelers have the best chance, since they get the visiting Panthers.
Also, don’t forget about the Collge Bowl games going on this week and next! Boise State vs. Utah should be a fun one, and of course I’m waiting for my Buckeyes to whip the Razorbacks. Hellz yeah. In the meantime – here’s some picks. Oh, and if you need a snack Sunday afternoon – how about this?
Featured Game:
NY Jets at Chicago Line: -0.0
First off, what the hell Rex? Foot fetish videos on YouTube with your wife? Really man? You know that the Bears fans are going to have some creative signs to go along with this shit. That being said, and hopefully not too much of a distraction, the Jets are coming off a huge win over the Steelers. While it was no longer than any other regulation football game, it was a game of endurance and the Jets prevailed. I was a bit surprised, because the Jets hadn’t been showing any offense of late. Which they’ll have to do against the Bears. Defense isn’t going to do it. The Bears have been too good on the offensive side of the ball. Even though they took a heartbreaking loss to the Pats – that was the Pats. The Bears are used to the cold now. I’m looking for them to come out and win. This game is heavy for the Jets, as they are trying to secure that wild-card spot, and the Bears want to lock up the division. The big game Bears will be out in this one.
Tailgate City (The Rest:)
Carolina at Pittsburgh Line: -15.0
The Steelers got humbled a bit last week against the Jets, but Steelers fans shouldn’t be dismayed – they will be in playoffs. It’s just a question of as the division leader or as a wild-card. This week, tied with the Ravens in record, the Steelers need to win. Especially since the Panthers have been sucking all season. Not only have they had failures on defense and offense, the coaching decisions haven’t been winning ones. This team has been playing not to get shut out since week 5. They might not have that luxury against the Steelers run defense, since the run is only half cocked weapon the Panthers have. Steelers to win.
Dallas at Arizona Line: +7.0
The Cardinals are in the fortunate position of being the only NFC West team not in contention for the division. I say that because they have nothing left to play for, which makes them dangerous. Of course, the Cowboys also have nothing left to play for besides a bit of self respect. Jon Kitna has had a pretty good season so far though, which should secure him a starting job somewhere next year – like Minnesota. The Cowboys should win this one easy, and do some endzone dancing. But you never know.
New England at Buffalo Line: +9.0
The Patriots still have not clinched the division, but another win should do it. And hey, what do you know – it’s the Bills! The Bills surprised everyone last week with their win over Miami. However, experiencing a sudden turnaround with two weeks left in the season is pointless. Looking at the match-ups though, if there was one bottom of the barrel team that could definitely play spoiler it would have to be the Bills. Back in week 3 the Bills nearly pulled off the upset over the Patriots, losing 38-30. That was before the Pats lost to the Browns, then turned their season around. I see Buffalo competing pretty hard in this game, but I just can’t see them upsetting the Pats. Pats to win.
Baltimore at Cleveland Line: +3.5
The Ravens currently own the tiebreaker in the AFC North, but a loss here would obviously knock them out of first place. The Browns at home in December are not to be underestimated. They have a team in place that has kept every loss close this year, even with that bonehead Jake Delhomme holding the ball. Peyton Hillis is the key to the Browns playing spoiler for the Ravens. If he can get a running lane against the Ravens defense, then the Browns can prevail. The thing is, the Ravens only allowed 84 yards and 54 yards by the Steelers in the two games they played this year. That’s a pretty stifling run defense. So what chance does Hillis have? A pretty good one because the Browns have the threat of a QB with mobility. The problem there is the first big hit by Ray Lewis and Colt McCoy might be afraid to run. However, just to shake things up and since the Browns finish the season at home against the Steelers, I’m going to pick the Browns to win this game.
Tennessee at Kansas City Line: -5.0
The Chiefs are so close, yet so far. The Chargers are nipping at their heels, but still a game behind. The Chargers have the Bungles this week, while KC gets to stay at home and welcome the Titans to town. The Titans have Kerry Collins back at the helm, which helped them look like the team they were supposed to be against the Texans last week. They smacked the Texans around, Chris Johnson was back on his feet after not being able to bust through many lines this season and the Titans racked up a confidence building win. Sure, they are out of it, but Jeff Fisher wants to keep his damn job. Beating the Chiefs, a division leading team could help him do that. The Chiefs though, might be too strong on offense to let the Titans keep a lead. The Titans are going to have to come out quick and strong and keep the pressure on Cassel in order to win. I’m going out on a limb here and taking the Titans to upset on the road.
San Francisco at St. Louis Line: -2.0
The Rams are a huge failure this year. Sure, Bradford has had a good rookie season, and yes they are leading the division with a losing record – but shouldn’t they have a winning one? The fact of the matter is that this team will get into the playoffs and host a fucking playoff game with most likely a 7-9 record. It’s sad and demands a rule change. They are barely good enough to compete week to week. This week they face the Niners who with only five wins can also win the division – if they win this game. Please, for the love of all that is holy in the celestial arena of football – do not let that happen. Rams to win.
Detroit at Miami Line: -3.5
The Dolphins had a lot of chances to compete this year, but couldn’t get it together on defense or at the QB position to make a run at the Jets or Pats. Sparano will be out of job next year regardless because Bill Cowher has vocalized his interest in returning to coaching and mentioned the Dolphins as a possibility. There is no way they’ll pass that up. I fully expect that to happen. The Lions broke their road losing streak last week by beating the stupid Bucs, can they make it two in a row as they travel to south Florida? The Fins took a crushing loss to the Bills last week to completely eliminate them, so they are playing for Sparano’s job. I have a feeling they’d rather have Cowher. Lions to win on the road.
Washington at Jacksonville Line: -7.0
The Jags blew it last week. I mean, they really blew it. Beating the Colts would have put them solidly into first place in the AFC South. Now they have to hope that the Colts stumble and cannot lose a game. This is their must-win game, so it’s a good thing they have the Redskins coming to town. Already McNabb is talking about staying or going, I’m betting on going. Shanahan too. I’m calling it now – Shanahan back in Denver at the end of the season. Anyway, Jags to win at home. No question.
San Diego at Cincinnati Line: +7.5
Here’s where the Chargers can charge (get it, that’s a pun) into a tie with the Chiefs. They have to win this week at the Bungles and next week against the Broncos. That may seem like an easy path, but the Bungles have been a bit – ah – who am I kidding? The Bungles flat out suck balls this year. They have no chance against the Chargers offense. If I had to pick a blowout this week, I’d pick the Chargers to simply destroy the muddled Bungles.
Houston at Denver Line: -0.0 CRAPFEST OF THE WEEK!!
Teeeeebowwwwwwww!!! Teeeeebowwwwww!!! Teeeeebowwwwww!!! Tim Tebow gets the start for the terrible Broncos. Why not give the kid a chance? One has to think about Brady Quinn though. Will he ever get another chance in the NFL or did the Browns completely ruin him? The Texans had potential this season, and after five games were looking like a serious threat. Then they didn’t. This game means nothing, except maybe a coming out party for Tebow. So, Broncos to win.
Indianapolis at Oakland Line: +3.0 UPSET SPECIAL!!
I swear I’m not drunk right now. As you can tell from the subject line, I’m going to be picking the Raiders in this match-up. Even though the line is close, this would be a huge upset as the Colts are fighting for a playoff spot. The Raiders are basically out of it, well, they are out of it, but this team has been exciting this year – for the first time in a long time. They are 7-7, and could be looking at a winning season. Also for the first time in a long time. The Colts are hurting with injuries to a lot of key starters. The latest was Collie, who was put on IR after a spate of head injuries. Peyton has only Reggie Wayne to depend on, and he’ll be double covered. They have no running game, and their run defense has been off and on all season. That’s why I’m taking the Raiders to pull off the upset in the black hole.
New York at Green Bay Line: -0.0
Rodgers and Giants rookie Brandon Graham engaged in a bit of friendly smack talk this week, after Rodgers was cleared to play. With Rodgers back, and Flynn’s rookie inexperience back on the bench, the Packers have a pretty good shot at upsetting the Giants. The Packers nearly beat the Pats, and it was only Flynn’s inexperience with time management that kept them out of the end zone at the end of the game. The Giants got beat by the Eagles on a complete failure of second half defense and special teams. Did they get too comfortable with their lead perhaps? Too cocky? They won’t be able to do that against the Packers, and I don’t think they will. I’m taking the Giants to narrowly escape the Packers, but I won’t be surprised if the Packers upset.
Seattle at Tampa Bay Line: -6.0
The Seahawks roll into Tampa needing to win out to win their division with a losing record. Obviously by now you know how I feel about that. Frankly, I’d like to see this game end in a tie so neither team gets the win but I know the chances of that happening are pretty extreme. So since I refuse to take the Bucs, who are not going to make the playoffs and no one on their staff will be getting coach of the year (ridiculous!) I’m going to take the Hawks to win on the road.
Minnesota at Philadelphia Line: -7.0
Any other year this would be a perfect Sunday night game, and while it will be a good game, it will be a lopsided contest. Favre is gone, and even though he was old and cold – he gives the Vikings the best chance to win at this point. The line on this game was zero, but I changed it for the sake of this post to 7. The Vikings are going to not only have trouble stopping Vick, but their special teams showed against the two times they kicked to Hester that they can’t tackle worth a shit. Deshaun Jackson offers the same type of speed and tackle avoidance. Forget it. Eagles to win big and get the home playoff spot.
New Orleans at Atlanta Line: -3.0
If there is one true game on the schedule this week that isn’t going to make a difference win or lose, it’s this one. The Falcons have locked up the NFC South unless they lose two and the Saints win their last two. However, that most likely won’t happen either way. This is going to be a hell of a good game between these two teams. Atlanta has been on fire all year, and the Saints came on late with their offense and haven’t slowed down – except against the tough defense of the Ravens. The Brees to Colston connection never got going in that game. They’ll have similar trouble against the Falcons secondary as well, but should do better in the flat. This is going to be a back and forth affair, with the Falcons prevailing in the end. Falcons to win.
That’s that. Week 16 in the bag. One more week then it’s time for the playoffs. Only good thing about that is it’s going to be less for you to read. Peace.