So last week happened, my worst week of picks EVER. 5-9 (79-65 on the season.) And they weren’t just close losses, they were terrible picks based on insane logic. Refusing to pick the Bucs knowing they’d beat the Panthers? Whatever. I’m being irrational I suppose.
So didja get a chance to check out my Power Rankings? For those of you that struggle with the word count in this weekly column, that might be more your speed. I understand the readin’ ain’t for all y’all, jus’ some of y’all. That being said, Week 11 is normally a “prove it or lose it” week, but have you noticed the parity in the NFL this year? There are no zero loss teams, there are no undefeated teams and the field is wide open. Mathematically, the Panthers are still in it. Yeah, it’s that kind of season.
Which makes sense that my picks are consistently getting worse. That adage of “every other Sunday” is really true this season. It’s slamming me every Sunday. Hopefully my picks are entertaining enough, even if they aren’t perfect. But where are the comments? Are you people too lazy to comment? I’ll try to cut down the word count a little bit, for you slow readers. Sheesh. Let’s do this! Week 11 picks!
Featured Game:
New York at Philadelphia Line: -3.5
The 6-3 Giants visit the 6-3 Eagles. The Giants are coming off a humiliating loss to the Cowboys at home, while the Eagles are coming off a superior drubbing of the Redskins. This is the fight for the NFC East, and it starts and ends on Sunday night. Who are we kidding? This game is nothing but Vick vs. the Giants defense. The same Giants defense that allowed the Cowboys to run all over them. Can they hold it together against Vick or do they not stand a chance? This should be a fun one to watch, especially since it’s in Philly. As much as I’d like to go with Eli and the boys, I’m taking Vick and the Eagles speedy receivers to take this one. Eagles at home.
Tailgate City (The Rest):
Chicago at Miami Line: -1.0
The Bears aren’t messing around. The Packers should be watching their backs. The Lions and Vikings are out of this divisional race (though not mathematically of course.) The Bears are a tough team on offense, especially when Cutler is having a good day. Will he have a good day in sunny south Florida against Tyler Thigpen and the Dolphins defensive secondary? I’m guessing Thigpen will start over Henne and the injured Pennington. Either way, I’m taking the Bears on the road.
Buffalo at Cincinnati Line: -6.0 UPSET SPECIAL!!
Buffalo got their first win last week against the Lions – even though they almost gave it up near the end. Buffalo is one of the worst teams in the league, but it’s not for lack of trying. The Bengals are one of the worst teams in the league, for lack of trying. They have three of the best offensive weapons on one single team, and can’t do jack shit with them. They are hopeless. Is it bad coaching? Is it lack of team cohesiveness? Perhaps. Either way, I’m taking the Bills to truly sink the Bungles this week. That’s right, we’re back to the Bungles.
Detroit at Dallas Line: -7.0 CRAPFEST OF THE WEEK!!
Who cares? I mean, who really cares? One of my biggest complaints concerning NFL scheduling is the Thanksgiving day games taking place in Dallas and Detroit, and it’s years like this that prove my point. The Cowboys and Lions are both sitting at 2-7 with no hope of improving. The Thanksgiving game should rotate every year, instead of being held in these two stadiums. Well, before those games we get this stinker. I hope Joe Buck is calling this game so I have even less of a reason to watch it. I have to pick a team? Hell, since I swore not to pick the Cowboys anymore – Lions on the road. Why not?
Washington at Tennessee Line: -7.0
The Redskins are what we call ‘hapless.’ While not a terrible team on paper, they still suffer from mismanagement and poor play calling, even with Shanahan at the helm. They just signed McNabb to another long term contract, even though he’s really on his way out. What the hell are they thinking? They got pistol whipped by the Eagles, and I’m looking for their weak defensive front to give up the goods to Chris Johnson and the ground attack of the Titans. The Titans should get back on track this week, they have to otherwise they are just handing the division over to the Colts. Titans to win at home.
Arizona at Kansas City Line: -8.0
Ah, now there are the Cardinals that we’re all used to. They are the kid that just keeps trying and trying, but comes up short again and again. This time, they came up short to the Seahawks, getting worked through the air. It’s like they weren’t even trying to defend against the pass. Andersen is back behind center again, but that won’t make much of a difference against the much better Chiefs. The Chiefs, while losing to the surging Broncos, still threw for over 400 yards. That kind of air attack will destroy the Cardinals weak secondary. I’m taking the Chiefs to win big in this one.
Green Bay at Minnesota Line: +3.0
When will the Vikings management team figure out that having Brett Favre starting is not only a distraction, but is actually losing them games? At the start of the season, he looked like he could be having another banner year. At this point, they need to bench him. Not to mention it appears that he’s forgotten he’s got one of the best running backs ever in the backfield in Adrian Petersen. Childress should be joining Wade Phillips in the unemployment line at this point. Meanwhile, the Packers are my solid pick for the Superbowl, and there is no reason they should falter this week. Packers over the Vikings by a healthy spread.
Houston at NY Jets Line: -7.0
The Jets are one loss away from sinking. Yes, they are 7-2 and have pulled off some amazing wins, but it only takes one emotional loss for a team like this to just self implode. Meanwhile, the Texans have already suffered a couple of those losses, the last second loss to the Jaguars last week was just the nail in the proverbial coffin. The only reason I’m taking the Jets to win this week is because of defense. Their offense is middle of the road and has a lot of problems establishing a strong running game. However, their defense wins games, and this shouldn’t be an exception to that. I’m taking the Jets at home.
Oakland at Pittsburgh Line: -7.5
The Oakland Raiders are one of those teams that are trying to re-establish a winning franchise. They are coming off the last bye week after beating the Chiefs into the ground the week before. They are playing extremely well on offense, only because Jason Campbell learned he can actually scramble when the pocket breaks down, something he didn’t know he could do in Washington. But will he be able to run away from the Steelers defense? Sure, they have some injuries, and suffered a loss to the Patriots, but that shouldn’t matter against the still inferior Raiders. This game should be closer than one would think, but I’m taking the Steelers at home.
Baltimore at Carolina Line: +10.5
While the Bills are bad, the Niners are bad, the Cowboys and Lions are bad – the Panthers are simply the worst. How this team can take the field every week and feel like a team is a mystery to me. They got worked by the only-so-good Bucs last week, and there isn’t a game they’ve played this year – even their one win – where they looked like they were in it to the end. They have no chance against the Ravens. Not a chance. The Ravens, at 6-2 lost to the Falcons (who are unarguably the best in the NFC) in the final seconds. Taking the Ravens to win on the road, easy.
Cleveland at Jacksonville Line: -1.5
The Browns are still the best three win team. They are close, so close. They beat the Saints in the Superdome, they beat the Patriots and nearly beat the Jets. Only a late fumble near field goal territory put the Browns out of it. They had their chances though. Colt McCoy is looking like the future of the team, and a hell of an accurate passer. The Jags got lucky last week on a hail mary, that’s not going to be enough against the Browns who are out for blood. This is the start of a long road trip for the Browns, and it’ll be good to start off with a win. Browns on the road.
Atlanta at St. Louis Line: +3.0
Like I’ve mentioned several times, the Falcons are the best in the NFC and possibly the NFL. Matt Ryan is a future hall of famer, and has no problem picking apart secondaries like they are hot chicks at a bar. They have the best running game in the league, and one of the most accurate and speedy passing attacks. The Rams looked like they were in the race, and technically still are. At 4-5 they aren’t out of it yet, since their division absolutely sucks balls. However, I don’t think this is going to be their week. Even though they are only a three point underdog, I’d expect them to come out swinging but come up short. Falcons on the road.
Seattle at New Orleans Line: -12.0
The Seahawks are not out of it yet. They punked the Cardinals last week, Hasselbeck making a clear statement that yes, he is still here and can still pass the damn ball. But that’s about all they have, a strong passing attack. Their defense is questionable, and their running game is suspect. So the Saints shouldn’t have any problem handing them right? Well, one would think so but the Saints have still not returned to the form that helped them win a Superbowl last year. Eh, it’s tough to repeat, even repeat with just a winning season. Who knew that their division was going to be this tough? I’m taking the Saints to win though, just cause the Superdome can be a tough place to play in. However, I think the Seahawks will keep it close.
Tampa Bay at San Francisco Line: -3.0
Well, as much as I hate the Bucs, they did win last week in a game that I should have been humble enough to pick. I didn’t, and I’m not going to pick them this week. The Niners aren’t that great though, but can come through when they need to – and they need to. Just to keep their heads about them. Alex Smith is out, Troy Smith is playing for all the marbles right now, which means a chance to show other teams (ahem, Vikings – take a look) what he can do. He has to do it this week, which is why I’m taking the Niners at home.
Indianapolis at New England Line: -3.0
This is the game that can break the Colts back and set the stage for the Titans to make a run at the Division. Can the Colts beat the Patriots this year? The Pats are looking good, which some key injuries have slowed down the Colts just enough to allow the Pats that slight edge. Playing outside, in the great northeast, I dunno. This looks like it could be an easy Pats win. Especially considering the way they handled the Steelers last week. I’m taking the Pats at home, just cause Tom Brady’s hair told me to.
Denver at San Diego Line: -9.5
Both these teams on paper are a lot better than they are in the win / loss column. Too bad paper doesn’t make a lick of shit when it comes to the NFL. This always makes for a good Monday night game, and shouldn’t disappoint. It is a Monday night game right? Anyway, without saying too much about who is the better team here, because I really don’t know, I’m taking the Chargers to win at home just cause San Diego has really nice weather this time of year. I like weather.
I’m mailing it in for the close. I’m tired. It’s late on a Wednesday night and I don’t remember eating dinner. Comments people, let’s get the conversation going. There were more comments about shoes the other day than I’ve seen about the NFL all year. Weak.












